2026 U.S. Housing Market Outlook – National Trends and Casper, Wyoming Focus

by CBWYOMING

2026 U.S. Housing Market Outlook – National Trends and Casper, Wyoming Focus

The U.S. real estate market is poised for a notable shift in 2026. After several years of cooled sales and strained affordability, industry forecasts signal a rebound marked by increased activity, slowly rising prices, and easing mortgage rates. This report gathers the latest expert predictions – from the National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) to analytics by Zillow, Redfin, and Freddie Mac – and drills down into what these trends mean for Wyoming, especially Casper. We also weave in insights from real estate coaches like Tom Ferry and Brian Buffini and perspectives from local Wyoming professionals to paint a comprehensive picture of the 2026 housing landscape.

Key Takeaways: Expect a gradual market “reset” rather than a frenzy – with more homes for sale, slightly shorter time on market, mortgage rates hovering near 6%, and continued buyer interest in affordable Mountain West locales. Wyoming’s tax-friendly, job-growing environment positions markets like Casper for steady demand. Let’s explore the details.

National Housing Market Forecast for 2026

Home Sales Rebound: Across the U.S., 2026 is projected to bring a healthy upswing in home sales. NAR’s chief economist Lawrence Yun anticipates a 14% jump in existing-home sales – the first double-digit increase in yearsnar.realtorfloridarealtors.org. This optimistic outlook reflects pent-up demand finally unlocking as conditions improve. Other forecasts are slightly more conservative but still positive: Zillow expects about 4.26 million sales (a 4.3% rise over 2025)zillow.com, while Redfin predicts sales will inch up ~3% (to ~4.2 million)redfin.com. In short, analysts agree 2026 will not be a record-breaking year, but a turning point upward from the stagnation of 2023–2025. Even with a projected national boost, recovery will vary by region – markets with improved affordability and inventory will lead the charge, while high-cost areas may see more modest growthfloridarealtors.org.

Home Prices: Modest Growth, No Crash: Home values are expected to rise slightly on a national level. NAR forecasts U.S. median prices will increase around 4% in 2026nar.realtor, buoyed by steady buyer demand and persistent supply shortages in many markets. “Home prices nationwide are in no danger of declining,” Yun notednar.realtor. Other experts foresee even tamer growth: Zillow’s economists project just a +1.2% rise in home values for 2026zillow.com, and Redfin similarly expects about a +1% year-over-year uptickredfin.com. In essence, prices should hold firm or edge up slightly – a relief for homeowners concerned about losing equity, and a sign that a crash is not on the horizon. The consensus is that still-elevated mortgage rates and buyer price-sensitivity will keep appreciation in check. Many sellers won’t cut prices dramatically either, thanks to the equity cushions built during the last decade’s boomredfin.com. The result? A slow climb in prices rather than any spike. Affordable markets and those with growing inventory may see above-average gains, while pricey coastal metros could stay flatterzillow.com.

Inventory and Housing Supply: One factor constraining a larger price surge is the stubbornly low housing supply. New construction is expected to hit its slowest pace since 2019 – builders are pulling back on housing starts after ramping up in recent yearszillow.com. In fact, Zillow predicts 2026 will be a weak year for single-family construction, as builders work through existing projects and avoid overextendingzillow.com. That said, inventory should improve gradually: more homeowners will list their properties as confidence returns, and areas with robust building activity (e.g. parts of the South and Sun Belt) will add much-needed new homesnar.realtor. NAR’s forecast calls for rising supply in 2026, which alongside lower rates will “help more Americans buy their next home”floridarealtors.org. Active listings are already creeping up in many regions – for example, Wyoming had nearly +10% more homes for sale in late 2025 than a year priorredfin.comredfin.com. Still, by historical standards, inventory will remain tight in 2026. Many owners with ultra-low mortgage rates have been reluctant to sell (“rate lock-in” effect), a dynamic likely to persist. Entry-level homes in particular are scarce, a challenge for first-time buyers nationwide. Builders are responding by pivoting toward more affordable segments (e.g. townhomes now comprise ~18% of new single-family starts, nearly double from a decade ago)floridarealtors.org. The bottom line: buyers in 2026 should have more choice than last year, but we’re not returning to an oversupply scenario. Expect a healthier balance between buyers and sellers as inventory slowly grows.

Days on Market and Competition: With a bit more inventory and slightly fewer bidding wars, homes likely won’t vanish as quickly as they did in the pandemic frenzy. Industry observers predict days on market (DOM) could lengthen slightly in 2026, reflecting a more normal pace. Already, overpriced listings have been sitting longer – NAR reports that homes priced just 3-5% above market value face longer DOM and deeper price cuts before sellingfloridarealtors.org. In 2026’s market, sellers will need to price realistically to attract buyers in a timely manner. Well-priced, move-in-ready homes will still “stand out…immediately” and could sell fastfloridarealtors.org, while stale listings may indicate a price drop is needed. Overall competition is easing from the peak: only about 5% of recent U.S. homes have sold above list price (down from the bidding-war heights) and sale-to-list ratios are just under 100% on averageredfin.comredfin.com. We anticipate moderate competition in 2026 – popular neighborhoods and turnkey homes will attract multiple offers, but buyers will have more breathing room to shop around than in the past two years. The median DOM nationally might hover around 1–2 months in many markets, up from the record-fast 1–2 weeks seen in 2021, but in line with pre-2020 norms. Notably, Redfin’s economists describe 2026 as the start of a “Great Housing Reset” – a multi-year normalization where incomes catch up to home prices and market frenzies subsideredfin.comredfin.com. This resetting means real estate will become a bit more predictable and less of a frantic sprint for buyers.

Mortgage Rates and Financing: What to Expect in 2026

https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-predictions-2026/

Average 30-year mortgage rates by year (2020–2026). Forecasts suggest rates will hover in the low-6% range in 2026, down from ~6.6% in 2025.

Perhaps the biggest factor shaping the 2026 housing outlook is the direction of mortgage interest rates. The good news for buyers and sellers alike is that most experts foresee rates stabilizing or dipping slightly next year. As of December 2025, the benchmark 30-year fixed rate hovers around 6.2%, near its lowest point of the yearfreddiemac.com. Going forward, forecasts converge on low-6% averages for 2026:

  • NAR’s outlook: ~6.0% throughout 2026thetruthaboutmortgage.com, which would be a full percentage point below early 2025 levels. NAR emphasizes that if rates reach 6%, it could “unlock” roughly 5.5 million additional buyers who were previously priced outfloridarealtors.org. This includes over 1.6 million current renters who might finally afford to buyfloridarealtors.org. In short, “lower mortgage rates will save the day” for housing next year, Yun saysfloridarealtors.org.

  • Redfin’s forecast: ~6.3% average for 2026redfin.com, essentially flat from late-2025 levels. Redfin expects a gradual slide in rates – potentially dipping just under 6% at times – but “not for any meaningful period”redfin.com. Their economists cite a likely scenario of the Federal Reserve easing interest rates due to a cooler economy, yet lingering inflation keeping mortgage rates from falling much furtherredfin.com. In other words, don’t bet on a return to 4% mortgages, but 6% is within reach. This aligns with Realtor.com’s outlook (6.3% avg.) and the Mortgage Bankers Association (around 6.4% all year)thetruthaboutmortgage.comthetruthaboutmortgage.com.

  • Fannie Mae’s forecast: slightly more optimistic, with rates slipping to ~5.9% by Q4 2026thetruthaboutmortgage.comthetruthaboutmortgage.com. They envision a slow quarter-by-quarter decline (about 0.1% drop each quarter) as economic conditions improve and inflation abates. While any such decline won’t be linear in reality, it suggests we could see high-5% rates by the end of next year if all goes wellthetruthaboutmortgage.com.

In summary, most experts predict 30-year rates averaging between 6.0% and 6.4% next year – a “slight improvement” from ~6.6% in 2025thetruthaboutmortgage.com but “still above the 4% historic average” of the 2010sthetruthaboutmortgage.com. Essentially, 2026 mortgage rates will feel boringly flat compared to the wild swings of recent yearsthetruthaboutmortgage.com. This stability is actually welcome news: it gives buyers more certainty to plan and budget, and it means the shock of 7%+ rates is likely behind us.

Financing Accessibility: With rates plateauing at lower levels, affordability should improve marginally. Mortgage payments on a typical home are expected to rise slower than incomes for the first time in over a decaderedfin.com. That said, credit conditions are not expected to loosen dramatically – lenders will continue prudent underwriting. But more buyers will qualify simply because a 6% vs 7% rate lowers monthly payments and debt-to-income ratios. NAR estimates a one-point rate drop expands the buyer pool significantly, especially for young and first-time buyersfloridarealtors.org. We may also see creative financing options remain popular: rate buydowns from builders, adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) for those expecting to refinance later, and down payment assistance programs for first-timers. If inflation continues to ease, we could even see moderate declines in mortgage fees or slight credit easing as default risks stay low (notably, mortgage delinquency rates are currently very lowredfin.com). In short, securing a home loan in 2026 should be a bit easier than it was in 2023-24, opening the door for more buyers who sat out the market due to affordability concerns.

Refinancing outlook: Although not a primary focus of this report, it’s worth noting that if rates hover near 6% in 2026, many homeowners who bought or refi’d at 3–4% will not have an incentive to refinance. This keeps turnover low (constraining supply), but those who bought at the 7% peak might seize a chance to refinance to ~6%, giving them extra housing budget to potentially trade up. Home equity is also high for many owners, so cash-out refis or HELOCs could see a revival if rates dip enough, fueling renovation and move-up purchasing power.

Wyoming & Mountain West Trends: Migration, Prices, and Local Outlook

While national trends set the stage, real estate is ultimately local. Wyoming’s housing market in 2026 will be shaped by unique regional dynamics – including migration patterns, economic factors, and the state’s relative affordability. Here’s what to expect in the Mountain West and the Casper, WY area in particular:

Inbound Migration to Wyoming: During the pandemic, many Mountain West states (Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, etc.) saw increased inflows of residents seeking space, lower taxes, and a different lifestyle. That trend continues into 2026, albeit at a moderating pace. Nationwide, about 29% of homebuyers are searching to relocate to a new metro, often from expensive coastal cities to more affordable regionsredfin.com. The latest migration data shows Americans flocking primarily to Sun Belt states like Florida, Texas, Arizona, and the Carolinas – and leaving high-cost states like California, New York, and Illinoisredfin.com. Wyoming, though not a top-5 destination, is certainly on the radar for some of those movers. Casper real estate agents report steady interest from out-of-state buyers: in 2025 they worked with relocators from Colorado, California, New Mexico, Texas, and the Midwest, drawn by Wyoming’s affordability, outdoor lifestyle, and tight-knit community feelteamwyocity.com. This relocation demand has been “a huge reason why our [Casper] market stayed steady—even when other areas cooled”, notes one Casper brokerteamwyocity.com. We can expect Wyoming (and Casper specifically) to continue benefiting from this migratory influx in 2026. Remote work arrangements and retiring Baby Boomers are two cohorts likely to consider Wyoming. The state’s lack of income tax and relatively low property taxes are additional magnets for financially savvy movers. In short, population flows favor Wyoming, helping sustain housing demand even if local birth rates are low.

Wyoming Housing Market Performance: Wyoming’s housing metrics have been robust recently. As of late 2025, statewide home prices were up 11–14% year-over-yearredfin.com – one of the stronger gains in the nation. (By contrast, many states saw flat or single-digit growth.) The median sale price in Wyoming reached $496,800 in Nov 2025redfin.com, though that median is skewed by ultra-expensive Jackson Hole/Teton County sales. Inventory has also been rising: Wyoming had 2,793 homes for sale in Nov 2025, a +9.7% increase from a year priorredfin.comredfin.com. With 5 months of supply available, the state’s market by late 2025 was roughly balanced between buyers and sellersredfin.com (6 months is typically considered a balanced market). Homes spent a median of 64 days on market, which was a week longer than the year beforeredfin.comredfin.com – another sign of a moderating but not weak market.

Looking ahead, Wyoming’s 2026 housing forecast is for continued stability and modest growth. Industry analyses suggest the state will see further price appreciation, though likely not as high as 2025’s double-digit leap. One real estate forecast projects Wyoming’s home values will keep rising into 2026 thanks to ongoing demand and limited supply, but at a more measured pace as more listings hit the marketfloridarealtors.org. Even a projected 14% national sales increase won’t lift all markets equally – some Wyoming communities might exceed that if migration is strong, while others might lag if affordability remains an issuefacebook.com. Notably, Wyoming was one of the only states to see a price dip in 2024 (home prices fell ~1.9% that year) as a correction after the big 2020-2022 surgemovebuddha.com. The rebound in 2025 and 2026 suggests the state has found its footing again. Demand is improving, but not everywhere at once, experts cautionberkshirerealtors.net. This means cities like Casper and Cheyenne – which offer jobs and amenities – may outperform more remote rural areas in housing activity.

Casper’s Real Estate Outlook: As the second-largest city in Wyoming (metro population ~80,000), Casper is a bellwether for the state’s housing health. Recent data show Casper’s market has been steady and resilient. In November 2025, Casper’s median home price was $317,000 – up a modest 1.4% year-over-yearredfin.comredfin.com. This small increase is actually a positive sign, indicating prices held firm despite higher interest rates, and it underscores Casper’s affordability (that $317K median is about 27% lower than the U.S. median home price)redfin.com. Homes in Casper are comparatively cheap for their size/quality, which entices both first-time buyers and investors. The typical home spent just 30 days on the market in Casper as of late 2025redfin.comredfin.com. That’s a quick turnaround (though slightly slower than 22 days a year prior), and it earns Casper a “very competitive” rating in Redfin’s index of market competitivenessredfin.comredfin.com. In practical terms, well-presented Casper homes often see multiple offers and can go under contract within a few weeks of listing, especially in popular price brackets.

Going into 2026, local Casper agents are optimistic. According to a year-end market update from a Casper realty team, 2025 was “a year of returning confidence” for buyers and sellersteamwyocity.com. Instead of a boom or bust, Casper experienced stable, predictable growth – something likely to continue into 2026. The same report forecasts 2026 as a “strong, opportunity-rich year” for Casper homebuyers, with more inventory coming online and interest rates settling downteamwyocity.comteamwyocity.com. In fact, more sellers are preparing to list in early 2026 (January–April) as they’ve regained equity and see the market favoring move-upsteamwyocity.com. Builders have also been active around Casper’s edges, adding new construction that was in short supply beforeteamwyocity.com. While entry-level homes under $300K remain a hot commodity (they often draw multiple offers due to scarce supplyteamwyocity.com), buyers should find a few more options in that segment next year as inventory “improves from tight to manageable,” per local expertsteamwyocity.comteamwyocity.com. Casper’s higher-end market ($450K and up) saw increased activity in 2025 thanks to relocating professionals and retireesteamwyocity.com – expect that trend to hold as more out-of-state buyers with big-city equity look for expansive Wyoming homes. Overall, Casper’s 2026 real estate scene is projected to remain steady and balanced: gradual price gains, a bit more supply, and ongoing demand fueled by both locals and newcomers. Don’t anticipate a dramatic swing – Casper’s market “continues to avoid the volatility seen in larger metros”, as one agent observed, favoring “growth that is steady, predictable, and grounded.”teamwyocity.com.

Local Economic Indicators: Underpinning Wyoming and Casper’s housing outlook is the local economy. Fortunately, trends here are encouraging. Wyoming’s economy is adding jobs and diversifying beyond its historical reliance on energy and mining. State forecasts project Wyoming will gain roughly 8,000 jobs from 2024 to 2026, led by growth in leisure & hospitality, construction, and healthcarewyomingpublicmedia.org. Tourism remains a pillar (not surprising with destinations like Yellowstone and Jackson Hole), and a surge in construction projects (e.g. wind farms, data centers) is expected to add over 1,400 jobs by 2026wyomingpublicmedia.org. Meanwhile, the once-dominant mining sector (oil, gas, coal) is stabilizing at lower levels – it’s projected to shed a small number of jobs (around 144) by 2026 as the industry adjustswyomingpublicmedia.org. This shift means Wyoming’s job base is broader and less boom-bust than before. Casper, historically known as “The Oil City,” has been actively diversifying. The city is transforming into a regional hub for technology, manufacturing, and healthcare servicesjakenfinancegroup.comjakenfinancegroup.com. Initiatives like the Wyoming Innovation Partnership have designated Casper as a key tech corridor, attracting companies and startups – several major firms announced expansions bringing hundreds of high-paying jobs to the areajakenfinancegroup.com. Casper’s central location and transportation links (interstate highways, rail, and a growing regional airport) make it attractive for logistics and commerce as welljakenfinancegroup.comjakenfinancegroup.com. Unemployment in Casper remains low (hovering in the 3–4% range), and wage growth has been slowly improving, which bodes well for housing demand.

Importantly, Wyoming’s tax climate continues to draw both businesses and individual relocators. The state has no personal income tax, and its property and sales taxes are relatively low. For homebuyers, this means more take-home pay can go toward housing costs – effectively increasing their purchasing power compared to similarly earning folks in high-tax states. This cost-of-living advantage is clear in Casper, where overall living expenses are ~10% below the national averageredfin.com. Lower utility costs, cheaper land, and other factors make it easier for families to afford homes in Casper without stretching budgets too thin. Moreover, the state’s fiscal health (aided by energy revenues and a sizable sovereign fund) has kept public services stable and schools funded, which gives newcomers confidence in settling down. All these economic indicators – job growth, rising wages, low taxes – provide a tailwind for the Wyoming housing market in 2026. A growing economy means more potential homebuyers and investors, and that underpins the rosy real estate forecasts.

Homebuyer and Investor Behavior in 2026

First-Time and Move-Up Homebuyers: 2026 could finally offer a breather for first-time buyers who’ve faced a rough few years. With home prices leveling off and mortgage rates dipping slightly, affordability is set to improve in many marketsredfin.com. Incomes (helped by a strong labor market) are projected to rise faster than home prices for the first time in over a decaderedfin.com, giving younger buyers a fighting chance. Many Millennials and Gen Z buyers delayed purchases due to high costs – expect some of that demand to re-enter the market. However, don’t expect an easy road: entry-level inventory is still tight (only about 1 in 5 listings nationwide is affordable to middle-income households, down from 1 in 2 before the pandemic)floridarealtors.org. This means first-time buyers in 2026 will still need to be proactive, possibly expanding their search radius or considering condos, townhomes, or fixer-uppers to get on the ladder. In Wyoming, the starter-home crunch is very real – as noted, in Casper anything under $300K tends to “move quickly, often with multiple offers” due to limited supplyteamwyocity.com. On the bright side, if mortgage rates hold near 6%, many more renters will qualify for loansfloridarealtors.org, and monthly payments for a median Casper home (~$317K) could actually be on par with local rents, making buying an attractive alternative for those who can save a down payment. We may also see move-up buyers become more active in 2026. The past couple of years saw a lot of homeowners stay put (not wanting to swap a 3% mortgage for a 7% one). As rates normalize and confidence returns, trade-up activity should rise. Casper agents observed more “move-up” buyers in 2025 taking advantage of better conditionsteamwyocity.com – e.g. families selling their starter home to upgrade to a larger house. This trend will continue, adding to inventory on the lower end and boosting sales in mid-to-high price tiers.

Real Estate Investors: Investors large and small are watching the 2026 market closely. The frenzy of 2021 (where fix-and-flippers and rental investors competed heavily with regular buyers) cooled off as the market softened. But in 2026, investors may see opportunity in the reset. One reason: rents remain strong. Redfin expects rents to rise ~2-3% in 2026 nationallyredfin.com, and rental demand will stay high because many would-be buyers are still priced out or delaying purchases (some by choice, some due to tightening credit). In Wyoming, rental yields are particularly enticing – Casper’s rental properties have been averaging 8-12% annual yields with occupancy above 92%jakenfinancegroup.com, far outperforming many markets. This has led savvy investors to label Casper an “undervalued gem” and a premier “cash flow” marketjakenfinancegroup.comjakenfinancegroup.com. In 2026, we anticipate more regional investors and even some institutional buyers targeting affordable markets like Casper where home prices are low relative to rents. In fact, current analysis shows Casper homes trading 30-40% below their replacement cost (i.e., you can buy existing properties for much less than it would cost to build new), offering immediate equity potential for buyersjakenfinancegroup.com. Such conditions are catnip for investors hunting for bargains and long-term appreciation. Local experts note that Casper’s economic diversification and infrastructure improvements (e.g. downtown revitalization, tech industry growth) are boosting its long-term prospects, making now a smart time to buy before the crowd catches onjakenfinancegroup.comjakenfinancegroup.com.

That said, investor behavior in 2026 will be more measured than the speculative surge of a few years ago. With only modest home price growth expected, flippers can’t count on runaway appreciation – they’ll need to create value through renovations and savvy purchases. “Buy and hold” rental investors, on the other hand, stand to do well in this environment, locking in still-cheap properties and benefiting from solid rental income. Markets with strong job growth (like Cheyenne and Casper in Wyoming) will be particularly attractive, as they promise reliable tenant demand. One thing to watch is whether more “mom-and-pop” landlords decide to cash out. The high home prices of recent years, combined with new investor taxes/regulations in some states, have led some small landlords to sell their rental homes. If that happens in 2026, it could actually be a boon for first-time buyers – converting rentals into owner-occupied opportunities. In Wyoming, however, such policies are minimal, so we expect investors to remain a presence in the market. Overall, 2026 will likely see a balanced dance between investors and homebuyers: investors providing renovated inventory and rental options, and end-user buyers taking advantage of slightly improved affordability to compete for homes.

Home Sellers: It’s worth noting the mindset of sellers as well. After a quieter 2024–2025, more homeowners will be inclined to sell in 2026 now that the outlook is brighter. With home prices at or near record highs in many areas, sellers have substantial equity – giving them flexibility on timing. However, they are also more pragmatic now: gone are the days of naming any price and expecting a bidding war. Sellers in 2026 will need to meet buyers halfway on price and perhaps offer concessions (like covering closing costs or paying for a rate buydown) if their home has been sitting. The NAR advises that pricing strategy “matters more than ever” – a home priced even slightly above market may linger unsoldfloridarealtors.org. In Casper’s market, agents stress that turnkey condition is king: updating floors, paint, kitchens, and baths can make the difference in attracting bids quicklyteamwyocity.com. Sellers who invest in those upgrades or price their home competitively are likely to find success in 2026’s balanced market. One positive note: as mortgage rates drop a bit, many move-up sellers will find more buyers able to afford their home, which wasn’t the case at 7% rates. This should especially help sales of mid-range homes ($300K–$500K in Casper, for instance) and allow those sellers to then purchase their next home, creating a beneficial cycle of activity.

Expert Insights and Industry Perspectives

The 2026 housing landscape is not just about data – it’s also about how industry leaders and influencers are reading the situation and advising their clients. Here are a few insights from prominent voices:

  • Tom Ferry (Real Estate Coach) – Tom Ferry, one of the nation’s top real estate coaches, has been urging agents to prepare for a market that requires better systems, skills, and consistency. In a recent poll of his large agent following, an overwhelming 90% said achieving their 2026 goals would require a “different version” of themselvesinman.com – essentially, new strategies for a new market. Ferry emphasizes tactical execution: for example, he’s coached agents on targeted local market “farming” and intensive prospecting to gain market share as opportunities expandinman.cominman.com. The takeaway for consumers and agents alike is that 2026 won’t simply hand out success – being proactive and disciplined is key in a normalizing market. Ferry’s mantra that “consistency is the currency in 2026” speaks to the need for steady effort in everything from marketing to negotiationsinman.com. For homebuyers or sellers, aligning with a well-prepared agent (many of whom are sharpening their skills via coaches like Ferry) can make all the difference in navigating the new year’s market.

  • Brian Buffini (Real Estate Influencer) – Brian Buffini, known for his annual “Bold Predictions” seminar, is notably bullish about 2026. In his December 2025 Bold Predictions event, Buffini highlighted that despite recent uncertainty, “there’s a lot of misinformation and fear” that needs to be cut through – and the facts point toward opportunityrismedia.com. Buffini’s forecast (in tandem with NAR’s Yun, who joined him at the event) calls for a significant surge in home sales (on the order of +14%) and a slight drop in interest rates – a one-two punch that could revitalize the industryfloridarealtors.orgfloridarealtors.org. He reassured real estate professionals that by leveraging data and economic insights, they can guide clients confidently in 2026rismedia.com. For instance, Buffini notes that millions of additional buyers will qualify if rates hit 6%, and he encourages agents to “reach out to buyers who stepped back” during the high-rate period because conditions have changedfloridarealtors.org. His overall message is optimistic: 2026 will be the year the housing market turns the corner into recovery, so both buyers and sellers should not sit on the sidelines. Instead, they should work with informed professionals to make the most of improved affordability and rising inventory. Buffini’s confidence is infectious – and largely backed by the numbers and fellow experts.

  • Local Wyoming Prospects (Coldwell Banker Team, Casper) – On the ground in Wyoming, realtors are echoing many of these national sentiments. Team WyoCity, a Casper-based real estate group, recently noted that for the first time in years “we’re seeing balance” return to the market, and importantly, “buyers benefit from balance.”teamwyocity.com Their advice to Casper buyers for 2026: be ready early in the year as new listings hit, and don’t hesitate if you find a move-in-ready home that fits your needs, because quality homes still sell quickly. For sellers, they recommend tackling the little improvements (fresh paint, updated flooring, curb appeal) that can yield big returns in attracting those eager buyersteamwyocity.com. This aligns with broader trends: turnkey homes nationwide are commanding a premium, as many buyers in 2026 prefer houses that are “ready to live” given still-elevated renovation costs and material delays. The Casper team’s overall tone is positive – they describe the local mood as “hopeful, more optimistic, and more forward-looking than… in years”teamwyocity.com. After riding out the turbulent early 2020s, both the community and its real estate market are prepared to “step confidently into 2026.”teamwyocity.com Such local enthusiasm, grounded in real 2025 market improvements, reinforces the larger narrative: 2026 is set up to be a year of renewed opportunities for those engaged in real estate.


In conclusion, the 2026 real estate market in the U.S. – and specifically in Wyoming and Casper – is shaping up to be healthier and more accessible than the past few years. Buyers can look forward to a bit more inventory, slightly better affordability, and a saner pace, while sellers and investors will still enjoy stable prices and strong demand in most areas. The Mountain West, with its lifestyle appeal and value proposition, should continue to draw new residents, benefiting places like Casper that offer a mix of affordability, economic growth, and quality of life. All forecasts point to improvement, but a gradual one – this is a marathon, not a sprint. As Redfin dubbed it, the “Great Housing Reset” of 2026 will set the foundation for a more balanced market in the years to comeredfin.com.

For anyone planning a move or investment in 2026, the best approach is to stay informed and work with knowledgeable professionals. Leverage expert insights (like those from NAR, Zillow, and local agents) to understand your market, and be ready to act when the right opportunity presents itself. Whether you’re eyeing a first home in Casper or expanding your investment portfolio in Wyoming, the conditions in 2026 appear favorable. After the roller coaster of the early decade, real estate’s new chapter is one of steadiness and optimism.

Need local guidance or listings in Wyoming? Visit Coldwell Banker – The Legacy Group for Casper and Wyoming real estate expertise.redfin.comjakenfinancegroup.com

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